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ARZANTARAPORE

Articles/Chapters

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"Engaging with Reality in the Indian Ocean," US Studies Center, University of Sydney, September 2024.

"Deterring an Attack on Taiwan: Policy Options for India and Other Non-Belligerent States," Australian Strategic Policy Institute, March 2024.

"Conditional Restraint: Why the India-Pakistan Kargil War is not a case of nuclear deterrence," Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists 79:6 (November 2023): 388-92.

"Zone Balancing: India and the Quad's New Strategic Logic," International Affairs 99:1 (January 2023): 239-57.

"Minilateral Deterrence in the Indo-Pacific," Asia Policy 17:4 (October 2022). Essays edited by me, and a lead essay coauthored with Brendan Taylor.

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"Pakistan's Nuclear Weapons Program," with Hannah Haegeland, in Routledge Handbook of the International Relations of South Asia, ed. Sumit Ganguly and Frank O'Donnell (New York: Routledge, 2022).

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"The View from Somewhere: Lessons from the Intelligence Failure in Iran," Intelligence and National Security, DOI: 10.1080/02684527.2022.2102327

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"Almost Parity: Understanding the India-Pakistan Conventional Military Balance," in Routledge Handbook on South Asian Foreign Policy, ed. Aparna Pande (New York: Routledge, 2021).

"Roundtable: Strategic Futures for the Indian Ocean," Asia Policy 16:3 (July 2021).

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"Mitigating the Risk of a China-India Conflict," Australian Strategic Policy Institute, 29 June 2021.

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"The Crisis after the Crisis: How Ladakh will Shape India's Competition with China," Lowy Institute, 6 May 2021.

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"Building Strategic Leverage in the Indian Ocean Region," The Washington Quarterly 43:4 (Winter 2021), pub. December 2020, DOI: 10.1080/0163660X.2020.1850833

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Exploring India's Strategic Futures, NBR Special Report #88, 10 September 2020.

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"The Army in Indian Military Strategy: Rethink Doctrine or Risk Irrelevance," Carnegie India Working Paper, New Delhi, 10 August 2020.

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"Asymmetric But Uneven: The China-India Conventional Military Balance," with Oriana Skylar Mastro, in Routledge Handbook of China-India Relations, ed. by Kanti Bajpai, Selina Ho, and Manjari Chatterjee Miller (London: Routledge, 2020).

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Defence Without Deterrence: Indian Strategy in the 1965 War, Journal of Strategic Studies (pub. 1 Oct 2019, DOI: 10.1080/01402390.2019.1668274)

Roundtable: Where the Belt Meets the Road: Security in a Contested South Asia, Asia Policy 14:2 (April 2019).

Managing Comprehensive Competition with China: Insights from Multi-Domain Battle, ORF Defence Primer (April 2018).

Vector Check: Prospects for US and Pakistan Air Force Engagement, RAND report RR2107 (March 2018).

India's Slow Emergence as a Regional Security Actor, The Washington Quarterly 40:2 (Summer 2017).

Strategies of Warfighting, ORF Defence Primer: India at 75 (March 2016)

Defense Intelligence Analysis in the Age of Big Data, Joint Force Quarterly 79 (October 2015), with Paul B. Symon.

India's Use of Force: The Missing Indirect Approach, Observer Research Foundation Issue Brief 106 (September 2015).

Holocaust or Hollow Victory: Limited War in Nuclear South Asia, IPCS Research Paper 6 (March 2005).

Commentary

"India needs the anchor of a national security strategy," The Hindu, 26 June 2024

"Preventing a China-Taiwan conflict," The Hindu, 28 March 2024

"The Cult of Operational Superiority, from Israel to India," The Hindu, 7 November 2023

"India and the US gear up for strategic competition," The Strategist, Australian Strategic Policy Institute, 26 June 2023.

"America's Best Bet in the Indo-Pacific," Foreign Affairs, 29 May 2023.

"What the Quad could learn from AUKUS," The Interpreter, 3 April 2023.

"Towards Meaningful Quad Cooperation on Intelligence," The Interpreter, 16 January 2023.

"A Risky New Status Quo," The Hindu, 22 September 2022.

"AUKUS is deeper than just submarines," East Asia Forum, 29 September 2021.

"Three Dilemmas Facing the Indo-Pacific's Regional Order," Asia-Pacific Bulletin 563, 29 June 2021.

India, China, and the Quad's defining test," ASPI Strategist, 29 June 2021.

India-China Strategic Competition and the Costs of the Ladakh Crisis, South Asia Voices, Stimson Center, 21 May 2021.

Evaluate the Ladakh crisis, keep China at bay, The Hindu, 12 May 2021.

India should prioritise a denial strategy in the Indian Ocean, The Interpreter, 9 February 2021.

Our Terror, Inkstick, 3 December 2020.

India and China are taking new risks along their border. It will be hard to restore peace, Washington Post Monkey Cage, 16 September 2020.

Rethinking the Defence Doctrine, The Hindu, 10 September 2020.

Excerpt: “Indian Army’s orthodox doctrine distorts military strategy in Ladakh-type conflicts: Study,” The Print, 31 August 2020, and लद्दाख जैसे संघर्ष के मामलों में भारतीय सेना के पुराने सिद्धांत सैन्य रणनीति को प्रभावित करते हैं: स्टडी,” The Print, 1 September 2020.

India does not need a Cold War Alliance, East Asia Forum, 27 July 2020.

Breaking with intelligence: Trump and the case of pandemic blame, The Interpreter, 12 May 2020.

Strength in numbers in the eastern Indian Ocean, The Interpreter, 12 December 2019.

Rebalancing Counterterrorism: As Israel Shows, an Effective Strategy Must be Comprehensive, The Hindu, 20 November 2019.

A More Focused and Resilient U.S.-India Strategic Partnership, Center for a New American Security, 23 October 2019.

Kashmir: A Casualty of India's Rising Power Status?, with Sumit Ganguly, The National Interest, 22 October 2019.

New Security Challenges: Tests for the U.S.-Australia Alliance, NBR Brief, 17 June 2019.

Balakot, Deterrence, and Risk: How This India-Pakistan Crisis Will Shape the Next, War on the Rocks, 11 March 2019.

The Geopolitics of the Quad, NBR Commentary, 16 November 2018.

How India's Rise Can Complement U.S. Strategy, Lawfare blog, 7 October 2018.

Dangers of a Doctrine of Patriotism,

The Hill, 29 September 2018, with Oriana Skylar Mastro.

Using Uncertainty as Leverage: India's Security Competition with China, War on the Rocks, 18 June 2018.

Sop to China or Signal to Australia?

The Indian Express, 11 May 2018.

Australia is Not on the Fence Between America and China, War on the Rocks, 26 January 2018. Hugh White's critique is here, and my brief Twitter-thread response is here.

Yes, North Korea could drive a wedge between the US and South Korea, Washington Post Monkey Cage, 12 January 2018, with Oriana Skylar Mastro.

Redefining India's Strategic Autonomy, Pragati, 20 December 2017.

Abridged version reprinted in IAPS Dialogue, 1 February 2018.

Countering Chinese Coercion: The Case of Doklam, War on the Rocks, 29 August 2017, with Oriana Skylar Mastro.

Five Eyes at 70: Where to From Here?, Real Clear World, 20 April 2017, with Cameron Colquhoun and Bradley Knopp.

Three Ways to Improve Australia's Intelligence Capability, The Interpreter, 3 April 2017.

Along the Karakoram Highway: A Photo Essay (two parts), The Interpreter, 2-4 August 2016.

Beyond Shared Interests: The US and the Evolution of Indian Military Strategy, Asia-Pacific Bulletin 343, 19 May 2016.

Intelligence Lessons from Pathankot, The Interpreter, 13 January 2016.

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